GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/3/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Chengdu Better City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

14.4%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Better CityDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chengdu Better CityQingdao Youth Island
63.6Attack37.7
66.7Defence58.0
68.2Form47.8
66.7Power50.1
1.82xG0.66
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