Chengdu Better Cityvs
Dalian Zhixing
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chengdu Better City 0-1 Dalian Zhixing
Original prediction
Chengdu Better City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.7% | 50.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.8% | 24.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.4% | 25.9% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Better City
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60