Primeira DivisãoPrimeira Divisão
Friday, 24 July 202612:00Last updated 10:12
Cheng Fung

Cheng Fung

Home
L
22
Full time
Universidade de Macau

Universidade de Macau

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
60% confidence
Cheng Fung(60%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Cheng Fung
60%
Draw
22%
Universidade de Macau
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cheng Fung
9
Universidade de Macau
9
Defence
Cheng Fung
0
Universidade de Macau
66
Momentum
Cheng Fung
0
Universidade de Macau
0
Danger (xG)
Cheng Fung
0.00
Universidade de Macau
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Cheng Fung)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Universidade de Macau)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Cheng Fung)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Universidade de Macau)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Cheng FungCheng Fung
L
Universidade de MacauUniversidade de Macau
LL

Probability breakdown

60% confidence
Cheng Fung60%
Draw22%
Universidade de Macau17%

Cheng Fung leads with 60% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cheng Fung head into this in Primeira Divisão fixture in mixed form (L), while Universidade de Macau arrive in mixed form (L). Cheng Fung have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Universidade de Macau over 1 games.

The model rates Cheng Fung's attack at 9/100 against a 66/100 Universidade de Macau defence, and Universidade de Macau's attack at 9/100 against a 0/100 Cheng Fung backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Cheng Fung have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per home match. Universidade de Macau have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Cheng Fung and Universidade de Macau in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Cheng Fung to win with 60% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Cheng Fung 6019%, Draw 2245%, Universidade de Macau 1736%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Cheng Fung

Cheng Fung

L
vs Shao Jiang
5 Jul 2025
05
Universidade de Macau

Universidade de Macau

L
@ Shao Jiang
7 Aug 2025
01
L
vs Shao Jiang
29 Jun 2025
34

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cheng Fung vs Universidade de Macau?

GoalVio's model predicts Cheng Fung to win with 60% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cheng Fung vs Universidade de Macau?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Cheng Fung vs Universidade de Macau?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cheng Fung vs Universidade de Macau?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more