Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Chemnitzer FC

Chemnitzer FC

Home
WD
30
Full time
SpVgg Unterhaching

SpVgg Unterhaching

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Chemnitzer FC35%
SpVgg Unterhaching30%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Chemnitzer FC
Win probability
Chemnitzer FC
35%
Draw
35%
SpVgg Unterhaching
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chemnitzer FC
73
SpVgg Unterhaching
9
Defence
Chemnitzer FC
82
SpVgg Unterhaching
6
Momentum
Chemnitzer FC
67
SpVgg Unterhaching
0
Danger (xG)
Chemnitzer FC
1.80
SpVgg Unterhaching
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Chemnitzer FC)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (SpVgg Unterhaching)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Chemnitzer FC)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (SpVgg Unterhaching)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Chemnitzer FCChemnitzer FC
WDD
SpVgg UnterhachingSpVgg Unterhaching
LW

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Chemnitzer FC35%
Draw35%
SpVgg Unterhaching30%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chemnitzer FC head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WD), while SpVgg Unterhaching arrive in mixed form (L). Chemnitzer FC have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for SpVgg Unterhaching over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Chemnitzer FC's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable SpVgg Unterhaching defence (6/100), while SpVgg Unterhaching's attack is up against a watertight Chemnitzer FC backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Chemnitzer FC's favour.

Chemnitzer FC have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. SpVgg Unterhaching have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Chemnitzer FC have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Chemnitzer FC to win with 35% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Chemnitzer FC 3479%, Draw 3504%, SpVgg Unterhaching 3018%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Chemnitzer FC 1Draws 00 SpVgg Unterhaching
Avg goals: 3.0
15 Jul 2026
Chemnitzer FC
W30
SpVgg Unterhaching

Recent form

Chemnitzer FC

Chemnitzer FC

W
vs SpVgg Unterhaching
15 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Union Berlin
9 Jul 2026
11
D
@ BFC Dynamo
16 May 2026
22
SpVgg Unterhaching

SpVgg Unterhaching

L
@ Chemnitzer FC
15 Jul 2026
03
W
vs Wacker Burghausen
16 May 2026
40

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs SpVgg Unterhaching?

GoalVio's model predicts Chemnitzer FC to win with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chemnitzer FC vs SpVgg Unterhaching?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Chemnitzer FC vs SpVgg Unterhaching?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chemnitzer FC vs SpVgg Unterhaching?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more