Chemnitzer FCvs
Magdeburg II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chemnitzer FC 1-2 Magdeburg II
Original prediction
Chemnitzer FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.0% | 81.3% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.66 | 19.6% | 11.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Away | 5.92 | 15.4% | 7.4% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
81.3%
Model confidence
81.3%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40