Chemnitzer FCvs
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chemnitzer FC 3-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Original prediction
Chemnitzer FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.6% | 43.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.7% | 25.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 31.6% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40