Chemnitzer FCvs
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chemnitzer FC 1-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Original prediction
Chemnitzer FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 50.0% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 24.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.3% | 25.2% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80