GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chemnitzer FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Carl Zeiss Jena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chemnitzer FC hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (84.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Chemnitzer FC holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chemnitzer FC

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

11.5%

Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chemnitzer FCDWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC Carl Zeiss JenaLWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chemnitzer FCFC Carl Zeiss Jena
83.3Attack58.3
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form50.0
84.1Power57.2
1.92xG1.11
View match centre →