Chemik Bydgoszczvs
Piast Gliwice
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piast Gliwice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0-3 Piast Gliwice
Original prediction
Piast Gliwice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.04 | 6.9% | 22.5% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.94 | 13.0% | 23.1% | 10.1 pts |
| Away | 1.13 | 80.1% | 54.4% | -25.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Piast Gliwice
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Piast Gliwice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20