GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chełmianka Chełm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chełmianka Chełm are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KS Wieczysta Krakow II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chełmianka Chełm hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Chełmianka Chełm holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chełmianka Chełm

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

10.1%

Chełmianka Chełm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chełmianka ChełmWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KS Wieczysta Krakow IIWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chełmianka ChełmKS Wieczysta Krakow II
50.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power18.3
2.20xG1.03
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