GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/10/2024, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avia Świdnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chełmianka Chełm are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Avia Świdnik are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chełmianka Chełm hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (90.0 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Avia Świdnik holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avia Świdnik

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Avia Świdnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chełmianka ChełmLWLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Avia ŚwidnikDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Chełmianka ChełmAvia Świdnik
66.7Attack75.5
100.0Defence56.9
100.0Form60.8
90.0Power63.8
1.70xG1.71
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