GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 5/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ural II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chelyabinsk II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ural II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural II hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Second League - Group 4, while Ural II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ural II

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Ural II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelyabinsk IIWLLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Ural IILWLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chelyabinsk IIUral II
25.0Attack51.7
46.7Defence31.7
23.3Form31.7
34.4Power39.2
1.13xG1.53
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