GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 4/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chelyabinsk II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orenburg II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelyabinsk IIDLLWD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Orenburg IIWDWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chelyabinsk IIOrenburg II
25.0Attack46.7
46.7Defence46.7
23.3Form38.3
34.4Power45.1
0.87xG1.41
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