Chelyabinsk IIvs
Orenburg II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 4/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orenburg II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chelyabinsk II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orenburg II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orenburg II
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40