GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Cheltenham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham Hotspur U21 hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (11.1 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Tottenham Hotspur U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Tottenham Hotspur U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CheltenhamWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tottenham Hotspur U21LDLLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CheltenhamTottenham Hotspur U21
11.1Attack77.8
0.0Defence22.2
0.0Form33.3
11.1Power41.2
1.68xG2.35
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