Cheltenhamvs
Reading
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/5/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Cheltenham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Reading are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 66.4-point power-rating edge (11.1 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60