Cheltenhamvs
Newport County
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cheltenham are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Newport County are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport County hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (11.1 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Newport County
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Newport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00