GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cheltenham are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cambridge United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cambridge United hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (11.1 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Cambridge United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cambridge United

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CheltenhamDDWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Cambridge UnitedWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CheltenhamCambridge United
11.1Attack55.6
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form33.3
11.1Power44.0
1.49xG2.10
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