Cheltenhamvs
Bristol Rovers
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/7/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Cheltenham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bristol Rovers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bristol Rovers hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (11.1 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Bristol Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bristol Rovers
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Bristol Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40