GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/14/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chelsea W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Chelsea W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while West Ham W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelsea W hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (81.7 v 31.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.2% in the FA WSL, while Chelsea W holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chelsea W

Probability

93.2%

Model confidence

93.2%

Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelsea WDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
West Ham WWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Chelsea WWest Ham W
100.0Attack30.3
72.7Defence31.8
83.3Form22.7
81.7Power31.2
4.25xG0.41
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