Chelsea Wvs
Tottenham Hotspur W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea W 6-2 Tottenham Hotspur W
Original prediction
Chelsea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.9% | 57.7% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.54 | 16.5% | 20.7% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 8.66 | 10.5% | 21.6% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20