GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Chelsea W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Sociedad W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelsea W hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (69.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the UEFA Champions League Women, while Chelsea W holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chelsea W

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

10.8%

Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelsea WWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real Sociedad WWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chelsea WReal Sociedad W
66.7Attack50.0
73.3Defence50.0
70.0Form50.0
69.6Power50.0
2.59xG0.90
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