Chelsea Wvs
Real Sociedad W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea W 5-2 Real Sociedad W
Original prediction
Chelsea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.9% | 59.5% | -17.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.16 | 14.7% | 21.8% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 10.76 | 8.4% | 18.7% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60