Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Chelsea WWDWWW
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Everton WWLWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chelsea WEverton W
80.0Attack26.7
93.3Defence73.3
86.7Form60.0
84.6Power56.5
1.81xG0.79