Chelsea Wvs
Austria Wien W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea W 1-0 Austria Wien W
Original prediction
Chelsea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 92.3% | 52.0% | -40.2 pts |
| Draw | 17.27 | 5.5% | 20.2% | 14.7 pts |
| Away | 41.66 | 2.3% | 27.8% | 25.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40