Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea 0-1 Juventus
Original prediction
Chelsea
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Chelsea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChelseaLWLWD
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
JuventusWWDDL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ChelseaJuventus
88.9Attack50.0
38.9Defence41.7
55.6Form33.3
61.0Power40.9
2.85xG1.60