Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea 3-0 AC Milan
Original prediction
Chelsea
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Chelsea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChelseaLLWLW
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AC MilanDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ChelseaAC Milan
88.9Attack58.3
38.9Defence33.3
55.6Form41.7
61.0Power46.0
2.98xG1.73