Chelsea U21vs
West Ham United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea U21 5-4 West Ham United U21
Original prediction
Chelsea U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.1% | 41.0% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.5% | 27.1% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.4% | 31.9% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea U21
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Chelsea U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00