Chelsea U21vs
Liverpool U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea U21 2-2 Liverpool U21
Original prediction
Chelsea U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.5% | 44.8% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 22.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.5% | 32.6% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea U21
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Chelsea U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20