Chelsea U21vs
Fulham U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelsea U21 3-1 Fulham U21
Original prediction
Chelsea U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.7% | 45.4% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 18.7% | 22.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.61 | 19.6% | 32.6% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea U21
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Chelsea U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00