Chelmsford Cityvs
Tonbridge Angels
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chelmsford City 0-0 Tonbridge Angels, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelmsford City 3-3 Tonbridge Angels
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.2% | 35.2% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.6% | 29.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.2% | 34.8% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.56 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Chelmsford City 0–0 Tonbridge Angels
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.9%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80