Chelmsford Cityvs
Salisbury
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelmsford City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chelmsford City 0-0 Salisbury, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelmsford City 1-1 Salisbury
Original prediction
Chelmsford City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.1% | 37.2% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 28.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.8% | 34.0% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.9 pts
Projected Score
Chelmsford City 0–0 Salisbury
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Chelmsford City
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Chelmsford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80