Chelmsford Cityvs
Maidenhead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelmsford City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chelmsford City 0-0 Maidenhead, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelmsford City 1-0 Maidenhead
Original prediction
Chelmsford City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.9% | 39.5% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.4% | 29.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.7% | 31.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
Chelmsford City 0–0 Maidenhead
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Chelmsford City
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Chelmsford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80