Chelmsford Cityvs
Horsham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelmsford City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chelmsford City 0-0 Horsham, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chelmsford City 0-0 Horsham
Original prediction
Chelmsford City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.6% | 44.3% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 28.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.3% | 26.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Projected Score
Chelmsford City 0–0 Horsham
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Chelmsford City
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Chelmsford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60