GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chelmsford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chelmsford City are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Hampton & Richmond are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelmsford City hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the National League - South, while Chelmsford City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chelmsford City

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Chelmsford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelmsford CityWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Hampton & RichmondLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Chelmsford CityHampton & Richmond
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
1.74xG1.08
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