GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Farnborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chelmsford City are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Farnborough are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Farnborough hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the National League - South, while Farnborough holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Farnborough

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Farnborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelmsford CityW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
FarnboroughDWDDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Chelmsford CityFarnborough
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.28xG1.45
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