GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/29/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vorskla Poltava II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

83.4%

Model confidence

83.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vorskla Poltava IILLWLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaVorskla Poltava II
60.3Attack27.8
76.9Defence37.0
65.4Form24.1
66.8Power32.6
2.72xG0.38
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