Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chayka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while UCSA are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40