GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/21/2025, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Trostianets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TrostianetsWWDDW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaTrostianets
60.3Attack33.3
76.9Defence83.3
65.4Form50.0
66.8Power56.2
1.83xG0.68
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