GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/16/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trostianets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrostianetsWLWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaTrostianets
60.3Attack33.3
76.9Defence83.3
65.4Form50.0
66.8Power56.2
1.83xG0.68
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