Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chayka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rebel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60