Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chayka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rebel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60