Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Chayka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Penuel are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40