Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Chayka are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Penuel are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20