GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/3/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva VinnytsyaWLDDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ChaykaNyva Vinnytsya
60.3Attack55.6
76.9Defence44.4
65.4Form44.4
66.8Power51.1
2.11xG0.74
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