GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/3/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.6% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

83.6%

Model confidence

83.6%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IIWWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ChaykaMetalurh Zaporizhya II
60.3Attack24.6
76.9Defence36.2
65.4Form33.3
66.8Power33.8
2.73xG0.38
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