GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/25/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

82.5%

Model confidence

82.5%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaDDLLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/5.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
ChaykaMetalist 1925 II Kharkiv
60.3Attack42.6
76.9Defence27.8
65.4Form33.3
66.8Power36.9
3.07xG0.59
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