GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/19/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

71.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivLLLWW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaLokomotiv Kyiv
60.3Attack44.9
76.9Defence44.9
65.4Form38.5
66.8Power43.7
2.30xG0.63
View match centre →