GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/27/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

71.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotiv KyivWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ChaykaLokomotiv Kyiv
60.3Attack44.9
76.9Defence44.9
65.4Form38.5
66.8Power43.7
2.30xG0.63
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