GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/17/2025, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Livyi Bereg 2 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaDDDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Livyi Bereg 2WL

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
ChaykaLivyi Bereg 2
60.3Attack55.6
76.9Defence68.9
65.4Form53.3
66.8Power58.3
1.25xG0.82
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