Chaykavs
Krasnodar 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 7/30/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chayka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Krasnodar 2 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Krasnodar 2 hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20