GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/3/2025, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chayka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hirnyk-Sport are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChaykaWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hirnyk-SportLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ChaykaHirnyk-Sport
60.3Attack35.2
76.9Defence63.0
65.4Form48.1
66.8Power51.4
1.51xG0.51
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