Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chayka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC UFA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC UFA hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40